Nov 30, 2015

JONAH GOLDBERG AND CHRIS STIREWALT DISCUSS TED CRUZ SHARP RISE IN THE POLLS

TED CRUZ DOUBLES HIS POLL NUMBERS IN LESS THAN 4-WEEKS!

Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus - Trump 25%, Cruz 23%

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senator Ted Cruz though might be the real surprise this time he's doubled his

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support in just four weeks he's now a 23 % which is within the margin of

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error for the top spot Dr Ben Carson drops to third Senator Marco Rubio

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surges to fourth Senator Rand Paul is next with Governor Jeb Bush seeming to

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still lose some ground dropping a percentage point from a month ago

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Jonah you say these numbers are not a real surprise to you why

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well in part because we saw that ben Carson was sliding and that you know it

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makes sense that a lot of those people would go to to Ted Cruz in part because

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Ted Cruz is a pretty good standard bearer particularly in Iowa for the

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conservative vote most of the votes going to trump are liberal a

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self-described liberals and moderates and also Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio have

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had the best strategic patience of anybody on the republican side of the

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field they understand the timing of these things the pacing of these things

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and they they want to have their kick like a marathon when it matters as you

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come up on the first votes and that's what's happening now cruises it's been

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almost brilliant in his way of cultivating the right wing base of not

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alienating Donald Trump and cultivate of stealing voters people like Rand Paul

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and now been cars do you expect Jonah the donald Trump will remain up there

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where he is sort of almost stratospheric numbers 25% right now or if candidates

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start to drop out of the race are they going to go other places

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yeah my suspicion is that at least some polls are going to start showing Ted

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Cruz is the front-runner in Iowa it happened for ben Carson most of the Iowa

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Republican electorate is not supporting Donald Trump and we know from Donald

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Trump's past is any time he is threatened or seen as a as not the

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number one guy and not the alpha dog not the winner he kind of loses his cool and

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goes on the attack will be very interesting to see him attack Ted Cruz

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because Ted Cruz is the kind of guy who swims across the moat with a knife in

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his teeth and he knows how to fight back

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bosnia's debutante Paula Saturday how are you see a good day to you

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Bonjour what's going on here with tech Cruces doubled his support in a month so

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Ted Cruz was sort of out hovering over the deep in the republican presidential

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race he had a lot of dough he had a lot of favorables among very conservative

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voters but it hadn't happened the thing had happened and you may have just seen

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the thing happen which is when we look at this poll we see Ted Cruz has

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tremendous support he has he had does the best among self-identified very

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conservative voters among Christian evangelicals and among self-identified

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Tea Party advocates are members those are people you want to be doing well

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west to win in iowa and he is doing very well with him he's also doing very well

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with women and that is contrasted against front-runner donald Trump who

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does very well with men he does very well with self-described liberal

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self-described moderates and among voters who lack college degrees so you

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have two different electorates in iowa and one of them is going all-in for Ted

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Cruz ok you mention these numbers here go inside the numbers on cruise is what

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we find tea party support 42% evangelical 27 very conservative 38% so

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you're now seeing a bit of a shift now and we'll see you again what we eighty

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days away now 75 check the calendar it's getting hot Ted Cruz in donald Trump

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have played nice with one another so far what does that change that changes

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whenever donald Trump decides that this is an existential threat when he feels

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like he's got no choice but to start insulting Ted Cruz and start attacking

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him that is presumably when he'll do it cuz that's what politicians do they

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attack when they feel they need to attack and we assume that will see that

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the better question is this Donald Trump was very successful in humiliating

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belittling ben Carson attacked him and then in good timing for Trump national

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security focus came in and really hurt Carson you see in this poll you see in

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our poll nationally Ted Cruz is gonna be a much tougher out and much tougher to

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take down for Donald Trump because crews is not just a guy who was top of his

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class at Harvard Law School and a great national debating champion but also this

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guy who's

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been through the hurly-burly of politics for a long time and when Trump swings at

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him I would imagine crews gonna be ready to swap ok I